GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS (CO 2, CH 4, N 2 O, HFCS, PFCS, SF 6): SECTORAL DISAGGREGATION

    Panel 1
    Update date
    Authors

    Daniela Romano, Marina Vitullo

    Abstract
    Graph
    Abstract

    The indicator represents the time series of national greenhouse gas emissions from 1990 to 2023, broken down by sector of origin. Data analysis shows that in 2023 there was a significant reduction in emissions compared to 1990 (-26.4%), explained by the economic recession, which curbed consumption in recent years, but also by a greater use of renewable energy sources. This resulted in a reduction in CO₂ emissions from the energy sector (-26.9% compared to 1990).

    Description

    Greenhouse gas emissions are largely due to carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, connected, as far as human activities are concerned, mainly to the use of fossil fuels. Also contributing to the greenhouse effect are methane (CH4), whose emissions are mainly linked to livestock farming in agriculture, waste disposal and losses in the energy sector, and nitrous oxide (N2O) deriving mainly from agricultural activities and the energy sector, including transport. The general contribution to the greenhouse effect of F-gases or fluorinated gases (HFCs, PFCs, SF6, NF3) is lower than the aforementioned pollutants and their presence essentially derives from industrial and refrigeration activities. Greenhouse gas emissions are calculated using the IPCC methodology and are all indicated in terms of tonnes of CO2 equivalent by applying the Global Warming Potential (GWP) coefficients of each compound.

    Purpose

    The indicator, which represents an estimate of national emissions of greenhouse pollutants and the related sectoral breakdown, has the purpose of verifying the trend in emissions and the achievement of the objectives identified within the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and the Paris Agreement.

    Policy relevance and utility for users
    It is of national scope or applicable to environmental issues at the regional level but of national significance.
    It is able to describe the trend without necessarily providing an evaluation of it.
    It is simple and easy to interpret.
    It is sensitive to changes occurring in the environment and/or human activities
    It provides a representative overview of environmental conditions, environmental pressures, and societal responses.
    It provides a basis for international comparisons
    It has a threshold or reference value against which it can be compared.
    Analytical soundness
    Be based on international standards and international consensus about its validity;
    Be theoretically well founded in technical and scientific terms
    Presents reliability and validity of measurement and data collection methods
    Temporal comparability
    Spatial comparability
    Measurability (data)
    Adequately documented and of known quality
    Updated at regular intervals in accordance with reliable procedures
    Readily available or made available at a reasonable cost/benefit ratio
    An “adequate” spatial coverage
    An “appropriate” temporal coverage
    Main regulatory references and objectives

    United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), 1992.
    Kyoto Protocol, 1997.
    Law No. 65/1994; Law No. 120/2002.
    CIPE Resolution No. 123/2002.
    Law No. 316/2004 (conversion into law, with amendments, of Decree Law No. 273/2004 on urgent provisions for the implementation of Directive 2003/87/EC on greenhouse gas emission allowance trading within the European Community).
    Legislative Decree No. 51/2008; Effort Sharing Decision 406/2009/EC.
    Legislative Decree No. 30/2013; EU Regulation No. 525/2013.
    Legislative Decree No. 111/2015; Paris Agreement, 2015.
    Law No. 79/2016; EU Regulation No. 842/2018.
    EU Regulation No. 1999/2018; EU Directive No. 2001/2018.

    Italy ratified the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) through Law No. 65/1994, established during the 1992 Rio Earth Summit. The Convention’s objective is to stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. The Kyoto Protocol, signed in 1997 and ratified by Law No. 120/2002, entered into force in 2005 and constituted the first implementing instrument of the Convention. Italy committed to reducing its total national greenhouse gas emissions by 6.5% compared to 1990 levels during the period 2008–2012.

    In Italy, the monitoring of greenhouse gas emissions is ensured by ISPRA, under Legislative Decree No. 51 of 7 March 2008 and Legislative Decree No. 30 of 13 March 2013, which established the National System for the greenhouse gas emission inventory. For the years 2013–2020, the Doha Amendment to the Kyoto Protocol was adopted on 8 December 2012. The EU and its Member States committed, in this second phase of the Protocol, to collectively reduce emissions by 20% below 1990 levels or another base year.

    A new global agreement was reached in Paris in December 2015 for the period after 2020. The agreement aims to strengthen the global response to the threat of climate change by keeping the global temperature rise well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels, while pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°C. The Paris Agreement entered into force on 4 November 2016.

    Law No. 79/2016, ratifying and implementing the Doha Amendment to the Kyoto Protocol, defines a National Low-Carbon Development Strategy, establishes the National System on policies, measures, and projections, and sets rules for monitoring and reporting greenhouse gas emissions and climate change information.

    At the European level, the greenhouse gas emission reduction targets for 2020 were set by EU Regulation No. 525/2013, concerning the EU Monitoring Mechanism for greenhouse gas emissions, and for 2030 by the 2030 Climate and Energy Framework. In particular, the European Union and its Member States, under the UNFCCC, the Kyoto Protocol, the 2012 Doha Amendment, and the 2015 Paris Agreement, committed to reducing collective emissions by 20% by 2020 and 40% by 2030 compared to 1990 levels. In December 2020, the EU’s binding climate target for 2030 was updated to a net domestic reduction in greenhouse gas emissions (after accounting for removals) of at least 55% compared to 1990 levels.

    DPSIR
    Pressure
    Indicator type
    Performance (B)
    References

    ISPRA, 2022. The provincial-level disaggregation of the national emissions inventory. Reports 369 / 2022. Available at: http://www. isprambiente. gov. it/it/pubblicazioni/rapporti ISPRA, 2022.

    ISPRA, 2022. Greenhouse gas emissions in Italy at the end of the second period of the Kyoto Protocol: energy reduction and efficiency objectives. Reports 362 / 2022.

    ISPRA, 2024. Greenhouse gas emissions in Italy. Reduction targets for 2030. Reports 399/2024.

    IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gases Inventories, Revised 1996, IPCC, 1997

    IPCC/WMO/UNEP, Good Practice Guidance and Uncertainty Management in National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, IPCC, 2000

    IPCC, 2003. Good Practice Guidance for Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry. IPCC Technical Support Unit, Kanagawa, Japan I

    IPCC, 2006 Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, Prepared by the National Greenhouse Gas Inventories Programme, Eggleston H. S., Buendia L., Miwa K., Ngara T. And Tanabe K.(eds). Published: IGES, Japan.

    IPCC, 2014. 2013 Revised Supplementary Methods and Good Practice Guidance Arising from the Kyoto Protocol. Hiraishi, T., Krug, T., Tanabe, K., Srivastava, N., Baasansuren, J., Fukuda, M. And Troxler, T. G. (eds). Published: IPCC, Switzerland. ISPRA, De Lauretis R. Romano D., Vitullo M., Arcarese C. National Greenhouse Gas Inventory System in Italy. Year 2019.

    ISPRA, Italian Greenhouse Gas Inventory 1990-2023, National Inventory Report 2025.

    ISPRA, Quality Assurance/Quality Control Plan for the Italian Emission Inventory, Year 2025. 

    Limitations

    None

    Further actions

    None

    Data source

    ISPRA

    Data collection frequency
    Yearly
    Data availabilty

    Used ISPRA data from the National Inventory of Atmospheric Emissions http://emissioni. sina. isprambiente. it/interno-nazionale/.

    Spatial coverage

    National, Regional

    Time coverage

    1990-2023

    Processing methodology

    Emission estimates are produced within the framework of the atmospheric emission inventory, using appropriate emission factors and/or estimation models. In the charts and tables, greenhouse gas emissions are expressed as follows: CO₂ in million tonnes (Mt); CH₄ and N₂O in thousand tonnes (kt); F-gases in tonnes (t). Greenhouse gas emissions are then converted into CO₂ equivalent by multiplying emissions by the Global Warming Potential (GWP) of each species relative to CO₂. The reference methodology for greenhouse gases follows the IPCC guidelines: IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, Revised 1996; Good Practice Guidance and Uncertainty Management in National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, IPCC 2000; Good Practice Guidance for Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry, IPCC 2003; 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories. For a detailed description of the estimation methodology, refer to the National Inventory Document – NID (https://www.isprambiente.gov.it/it/pubblicazioni/rapporti/italian-greenhouse-gas-inventory-1990-2023-national-inventory-document-2025).

    Update frequency
    Year
    Data quality

    Information on greenhouse gas emissions is essential for verifying compliance with national and international targets. Estimates are calculated in accordance with transparency, accuracy, consistency, comparability, and completeness as required by the reference methodology.

    Status
    Good
    Trend
    Positive
    State assessment/description

    Total greenhouse gas emissions amounted to 384 million tonnes of CO₂ equivalent in 2023, representing a decrease of over 26% compared to 1990. While exceeding the EU target for 2020, further effort is required to meet the new 2030 targets (Table 2 and Figure 1).

    Trend assessment/description

    Total greenhouse gas emissions decreased from 522.8 million tonnes of CO₂ equivalent in 1990 to 384.7 million tonnes in 2023. This trend is mainly driven by the energy sector and CO₂ emissions, which accounted for 80.4% of the total in 2023 (Table 3 and Figure 1). Methane and nitrous oxide also decreased, whereas F-gases have grown significantly since 1990 (Table 2).


    Comments

    The emission data reported constitute the official reference source for verifying the commitments undertaken at an international level, due to ISPRA's role as responsible for the annual creation of the national inventory of atmospheric emissions. To ensure the coherence and comparability of the inventory, the annual update of emissions involves the revision of the entire historical series on the basis of greater information and the most recent methodological developments. The data presented is based on sectoral disaggregation with reference to the IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories. Emissions are presented both for single gas and in aggregate, expressed in terms of CO2 equivalent, reporting them both at total level and disaggregated at IPCC sector level. The percentage compositions of the substances that make up greenhouse gases do not undergo profound variations over the entire period 1990-2023. This is especially true for carbon dioxide and methane, which in 2023 weigh respectively 81.4% and 11.7% of the total, while nitrous oxide and F-gases weigh approximately 4.4% and 2.5% of the total greenhouse gases respectively). Carbon dioxide emissions, which characterize the overall trend of greenhouse gases, showed an increasing trend until 2004 and then decreased in the following years with a marked reduction in 2009 (Table 1, Figure 3). CH4 emissions without LULUCF (Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry) have decreased overall by 17.9% since 1990, while N2O emissions by 31.4% (Table 2). As regards F-gas emissions, strong growth has been noted since 1997; since the end of the 1990s, these compounds have predominantly consisted of HFCs (Tables 2 and 3). Greenhouse gas emissions are mainly attributable to the energy sector (in 2023 the weight on the total is equal to 80.4%). In 2023, greenhouse gas emissions from industrial processes and agriculture have weights on the national total equal to 6.1% and 8.4% respectively, while the waste sector contributes 5.3% to the total (Table 3, Figure 1). As can be seen from Table 3, the largest contributions for CH4 emissions come from agriculture and waste, while for N2O from the agricultural sector. Considering also the estimates and absorptions from the LULUCF sector in the national totals, total greenhouse gas emissions decreased by 36.2% from 1990 to 2023 (Table 2 and Figure 2). In this case it must be considered that the trend of the carbon stock, in the period 1990-2023, is strongly conditioned by the reduction in the absorption of greenhouse gases connected to the surfaces covered annually by fires.

    Total greenhouse gas emissions by region vary from approximately 67.4 Mt for Lombardy to 1.3 Mt for Valle d'Aosta (Table 4). Each region is characterized by specific emission sectors and categories in relation to the presence or absence of large point emission sources as well as by their socio-economic characterization. As for the national data, CO2 emissions are the largest component of GHG with percentages varying between 73% (Valle d'Aosta) and 88% (Puglia) (Figure 5).

    Data
    Headline

    Table 1: National carbon dioxide emissions by sector

    Data source

    ISPRA

    Note

    Emission values have been updated in line with the annual update of the National Emission Inventory.

    Headline

    Table 2: National greenhouse gas emissions in CO₂ equivalent by substance

    Data source

    ISPRA

    Data legend

    LULUCF: Land Use, Land-Use Change, and Forestry;
    CO₂: carbon dioxide;
    CH₄: methane;
    N₂O: nitrous oxide;
    F-gas: fluorinated gases.

    Note

    Emission values have been updated in line with the annual update of the National Emission Inventory.

    Headline

    Table 3: National greenhouse gas emissions in CO₂ equivalent by substance and sector

    Data source

    ISPRA

    Note

    Emission values have been updated in line with the annual update of the National Emission Inventory.

    Thumbnail
    Headline

    Figure 1: National sectoral greenhouse gas emissions in CO₂ equivalent, according to IPCC classification

    Data source

    ISPRA

    Note

    Emission values have been updated in line with the annual update of the National Emission Inventory.

    Thumbnail
    Headline

    Figure 2: National sectoral greenhouse gas emissions in CO₂ equivalent, according to IPCC classification (including LULUCF)

    Data source

    ISPRA

    Note

    Emission values have been updated in line with the annual update of the National Emission Inventory.

    Thumbnail
    Headline

    Figure 3: National sectoral CO₂ emissions, according to IPCC classification

    Data source

    ISPRA

    Note

    Emission values have been updated in line with the annual update of the National Emission Inventory.

    Thumbnail
    Headline

    Figure 4: Changes in national greenhouse gas emissions by sector, 1990–2023

    Data source

    ISPRA

    Note

    Emission values have been updated in line with the annual update of the National Emission Inventory.

    Headline

    Table 4: Regional greenhouse gas emissions (N₂O, F-gases, CO₂, CH₄)

    Data source

    ISPRA

    Data legend

    a) Emissions from offshore point sources, such as vessel cruising phases or activities related to the extraction of liquid or gaseous fuels.

    Note

    Regional data for the years 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, 2019, and 2023 were disaggregated using a top-down methodology based on the data reported in the national inventory submitted in 2025, through ad hoc proxy variables specific to each inventory activity. Emissions from international aviation and from LULUCF (Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry), in particular those from fires, are excluded. These selections explain the differences between the sum of regional data and national totals for the various pollutants.

    Thumbnail
    Headline

    Figure 5: Percentage distribution of regional greenhouse gas emissions by substance (N₂O, F-gases, CO₂, CH₄) (2023)

    Data source

    ISPRA

    Note

    Regional data for 2023 were disaggregated using a top-down methodology based on the data reported in the national inventory submitted in 2025, through ad hoc proxy variables specific to each inventory activity. Emissions from international aviation and from LULUCF (Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry), in particular those from fires, are excluded. These selections explain the differences between the sum of regional data and national totals for the various pollutants.

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    English