NATIONAL EMISSIONS OF TROPOSPHERIC OZONE PRECURSORS IN OZONE FORMATION POTENTIAL (TOFP): TREND AND SECTORAL DISAGGREGATION

Data aggiornamento scheda
Autori

Daniela Romano, Marina Vitullo

Abstract

This indicator represents the national trend of emissions of tropospheric ozone precursors: nitrogen oxides (NOx) and non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOCs), disaggregated by source sector. A marked decrease is observed between 1990 and 2023 (-74% for NOx and -57% for NMVOCs), mainly driven by the strong reduction of emissions from the transport sector.

Descrizione

Emissions are estimated according to the methodology indicated by the European Environment Agency (EMEP/EEA Air Pollutant Emission Inventory Guidebook 2019).
Tropospheric ozone is an important issue both in urban areas, where acute pollution episodes occur, and in rural areas, where it impacts crops.
Emissions of nitrogen oxides (NOx) and non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOCs), which are precursors of tropospheric ozone, also have transboundary relevance due to long-range transport phenomena.
Ozone formation occurs through photochemical reactions under typical summer meteorological conditions. Ozone has a high oxidizing potential and causes harmful effects on human health, ecosystems, and cultural heritage.
The main sources of these pollutants are transport and other combustion processes, as well as the use of solvents in the case of NMVOCs.

Scopo

The purpose is to assess the pressures from tropospheric ozone precursors and their trends over time in relation to national and international emission reduction targets (Legislative Decree 171/2004, Gothenburg Protocol, and NEC Directive).

Rilevanza
È di portata nazionale oppure applicabile a temi ambientali a livello regionale ma di significato nazionale
È in grado di descrivere la tendenza senza necessariamente fornire una valutazione della stessa.
È semplice, facile da interpretare.
È sensibile ai cambiamenti che si verificano nell'ambiente e/o nelle attività umane
Fornisce un quadro rappresentativo delle condizioni ambientali, delle pressioni sull'ambiente e delle risposte della società.
Fornisce una base per confronti internazionali.
It has a threshold or reference value against which it can be compared.
Solidità
È basato su standard nazionali/internazionali e sul consenso nazionale/internazionale circa la sua validità
È ben fondato sul piano tecnico e scientifico.
Presenta affidabilità e attendibilità dei metodi di misurazione e raccolta dei dati
Comparabilità nel tempo
Comparabilità nello spazio
Misurabilità (dati)
Adeguatamente documentati e di fonte nota
Aggiornati a intervalli regolari e con procedure affidabili
Facilmente disponibili o resi disponibili a fronte di un ragionevole rapporto costi/benefici
Un’ “adeguata” copertura spaziale
Un’ “idonea” copertura temporale
Principali riferimenti normativi e obiettivi

The Gothenburg Protocol of 1999 to the 1979 Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution, amended in 2012, aims to reduce acidification, eutrophication, and tropospheric ozone (the European Community adheres to the Protocol via Council Decision 2003/507/EC).
Directive (EU) 2015/2193 (transposed by Legislative Decree 183/2017) applies to medium combustion plants and sets rules for controlling emissions of sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx), and particulate matter, in order to reduce air emissions and potential risks to human health and the environment.
The new NEC Directive 2016/2284 of the European Parliament and Council (transposed by Legislative Decree 81/2018) concerning the reduction of national emissions of certain air pollutants defines national emission reduction commitments relative to 2005, applicable from 2020 to 2029 and from 2030 onwards: - for NOx, reduction commitments of 40% (2020–2029) and 65% (from 2030); - for NMVOCs, reduction commitments of 35% (2020–2029) and 46% (from 2030).

DPSIR
Pressione
Tipologia indicatore
Performance (B)
Riferimenti bibliografici

ISPRA, 2024. Italian Emission Inventory 1990-2023. Informative Inventory Report 2025 (https://www. isprambiente. gov. it/it/pubblicazioni/rapporti/)

Fonte dei dati

ISPRA

Frequenza di rilevazione dei dati
Annuale
Accessibilità dei dati di base

Used ISPRA data from the National Inventory of Atmospheric Emissions (https://emissioni. sina. isprambiente. it/interno-nazionale/).

Copertura spaziale

National, Regional

Copertura temporale

1990 - 2023

Core SET
EEA - Set of Indicators
7° Programma di azione per l’Ambiente Europeo (7° EAP) - Dati sull’ambiente
Strategia Nazionale Sviluppo Sostenibile (SNSvS)
OECD-Environment at Glance
Descrizione della metodologia di elaborazione

The estimate has been produced as part of the development of the national atmospheric emission inventory. Data can be aggregated using the Tropospheric Ozone-Forming Potential (TOFP). These conversion factors are those used by the European Environment Agency (EEA) in environmental reports and are particularly useful for aggregated validation at the European level.
For air pollutants, the methodology applied is that indicated by the European Environment Agency (EMEP/EEA Guidebook – 2019). For a detailed description of the estimation methodology, reference is made to the Informative Inventory Report – IIR (https://www.isprambiente.gov.it/it/pubblicazioni/rapporti; https://www.ceip.at/status-of-reporting-and-review-results/2025-submission/).

Periodicità di aggiornamento
Annuale
Data quality

The reported emission data constitute the official reference source for verifying compliance with international commitments, given ISPRA’s role as the body responsible for the annual compilation of the national emission inventory.
National-level estimates are calculated in accordance with the principles of transparency, accuracy, consistency, comparability, and completeness required by the reference methodology.

Stato
Buono
Trend
Positivo
Valutazione/descrizione dello stato

In 2023, nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions amounted to 557 kt, while NMVOC emissions reached 871 kt. NOx had already achieved the reduction target established by Directive 2016/2284 for 2020 (-40%) by 2014; in 2023, relative to 2005, this reduction was -57%. NMVOCs also met the target (-35%) already by 2020, and the reduction relative to 2005 is confirmed at 37% in 2023 (Table 1).

Valutazione/descrizione del trend

Between 1990 and 2023, emissions of tropospheric ozone precursors showed a marked reduction (-74% for NOx and -54% for NMVOCs), mainly driven by a strong decrease in emissions from the transport sectors (road transport and other mobile sources) and solvent use (particularly for NMVOCs) (Tables 1, 2, and Figure 3).

Commenti

To ensure consistency and comparability of the inventory, the annual update of emissions involves continuous revision of the entire historical series based on new information and the latest methodological developments.
Natural emissions (other sources and sinks) are not included in the totals, in line with the classification adopted in the national emission inventory. For nitrogen oxides, the contribution from road transport has remained relatively stable over the years and is the main national NOx emission source (40% in 2023). From 1993, essentially due to the introduction of catalytic converters, the increasing trend of road emissions reversed. In 2023, these emissions were reduced by 77.5% compared to 1990. NOx emissions from non-road transport modes decreased by 53% since 1990, representing the second-largest national emission source and contributing 22.1% of the total in 2023. Non-industrial combustion, the only sector showing an increase (+15.5% since 1990), accounted for 13.3% of total emissions, while industrial combustion and combustion in energy production and transformation industries represented 7.7% and 5.6% of the national total in 2023, respectively (Table 1, Figure 2).

NMVOC emissions originate primarily from: Solvent use (44.1% of total emissions in 2023), which decreased by 39.3% since 1990; Non-industrial combustion (18.9% of emissions in 2023), which increased by 60.4% since 1990; Transport (road transport and other mobile sources represent 10.4% and 1.8% of total emissions in 2023, respectively); Agriculture, which decreased by 18.9%, representing 14.1% of total emissions in 2023.

The largest reduction concerns transport, mainly due to the introduction of vehicle emission control systems such as catalytic converters and canisters (-88.2% for road transport and -88.0% for other mobile sources) (Table 1, Figure 1).

In a context of general reduction in emissions, the highest shares of nitrogen oxides and non-methane volatile organic compounds originate from Lombardy with values ​​equal to 78 kt and 171 kt respectively, while the smallest shares are generated from Valle d'Aosta with values ​​equal to 2 kt and 2.7 kt (Table 3, Figure 4).

Data
Allegati
Titolo

Table 1: National emissions of ozone precursors by sector

Fonte

ISPRA

Legenda

A: Combustion – Energy production and transformation industries
B: Non-industrial combustion
C: Industrial combustion
D: Production processes
E: Fossil fuel extraction and distribution / Geothermal energy
F: Solvent use
G: Road transport
H: Other mobile sources
I: Waste treatment and disposal
L: Agriculture

Note

Emission values have been updated in line with the annual update of the national emission inventory.

Titolo

Table 2: National emissions of ozone precursors in tropospheric ozone formation potential

Fonte

ISPRA

Legenda

TOFP conversion factor: NOx = 1.22; NMVOCs = 1

Note

Emission values have been updated in line with the annual update of the national emission inventory.

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Titolo

Figure 1: National NMVOC emissions by sector

Fonte

ISPRA

Note

Emission values have been updated in line with the annual update of the national emission inventory.

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Titolo

Figure 2: National NOx emissions by sector

Fonte

ISPRA

Note

Emission values have been updated in line with the annual update of the national emission inventory.

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Titolo

Figure 3: National emissions of ozone precursors in tropospheric ozone formation potential

Fonte

ISPRA

Legenda

TOFP conversion factor: NOx = 1.22; NMVOCs = 1

Note

Emission values have been updated in line with the annual update of the national emission inventory.

Titolo

Table 3: Regional emissions of ozone precursors (NOₓ, NMVOCs)

Fonte

ISPRA

Legenda

a) Emissions from offshore point sources, such as vessel cruising phases or activities related to the extraction of liquid or gaseous fuels.

Note

Regional data for the years 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, 2019, and 2023 were disaggregated using a top-down methodology based on the data reported in the national inventory submitted in 2025, through ad hoc proxy variables specific to each inventory activity. Emissions from international aviation and from LULUCF (Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry), in particular those from fires, are excluded. These selections explain the differences between the sum of regional data and national totals for the various pollutants.

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Titolo

Figure 4: Regional emissions of ozone precursors (NOₓ, NMVOCs) (2023)

Fonte

ISPRA

Note

Regional data for 2023 were disaggregated using a top-down methodology based on the data reported in the national inventory submitted in 2025, through ad hoc proxy variables specific to each inventory activity.