NATIONAL EMISSIONS OF TROPOSPHERIC OZONE PRECURSORS IN OZONE FORMATION POTENTIAL (TOFP): TREND AND SECTORAL DISAGGREGATION

    Panel 1
    Update date
    Authors

    Daniela Romano

    Abstract
    Graph
    Abstract

    This indicator represents the national trend of emissions of tropospheric ozone precursors: nitrogen oxides (NOx) and non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOCs), disaggregated by source sector. A marked decrease is observed between 1990 and 2023 (-74% for NOx and -57% for NMVOCs), mainly driven by the strong reduction of emissions from the transport sector.

    Description

    Emissions are estimated according to the methodology indicated by the European Environment Agency (EMEP/EEA Air Pollutant Emission Inventory Guidebook 2019).
    Tropospheric ozone is an important issue both in urban areas, where acute pollution episodes occur, and in rural areas, where it impacts crops.
    Emissions of nitrogen oxides (NOx) and non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOCs), which are precursors of tropospheric ozone, also have transboundary relevance due to long-range transport phenomena.
    Ozone formation occurs through photochemical reactions under typical summer meteorological conditions. Ozone has a high oxidizing potential and causes harmful effects on human health, ecosystems, and cultural heritage.
    The main sources of these pollutants are transport and other combustion processes, as well as the use of solvents in the case of NMVOCs.

    Purpose

    The purpose is to assess the pressures from tropospheric ozone precursors and their trends over time in relation to national and international emission reduction targets (Legislative Decree 171/2004, Gothenburg Protocol, and NEC Directive).

    Policy relevance and utility for users
    It is of national scope or applicable to environmental issues at the regional level but of national significance.
    It is able to describe the trend without necessarily providing an evaluation of it.
    It is simple and easy to interpret.
    It is sensitive to changes occurring in the environment and/or human activities
    It provides a representative overview of environmental conditions, environmental pressures, and societal responses.
    It provides a basis for international comparisons
    It has a threshold or reference value against which it can be compared.
    Analytical soundness
    Be based on international standards and international consensus about its validity;
    Be theoretically well founded in technical and scientific terms
    Presents reliability and validity of measurement and data collection methods
    Temporal comparability
    Spatial comparability
    Measurability (data)
    Adequately documented and of known quality
    Updated at regular intervals in accordance with reliable procedures
    Readily available or made available at a reasonable cost/benefit ratio
    An “adequate” spatial coverage
    An “appropriate” temporal coverage
    Main regulatory references and objectives

    The Gothenburg Protocol of 1999 to the 1979 Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution, amended in 2012, aims to reduce acidification, eutrophication, and tropospheric ozone (the European Community adheres to the Protocol via Council Decision 2003/507/EC).
    Directive (EU) 2015/2193 (transposed by Legislative Decree 183/2017) applies to medium combustion plants and sets rules for controlling emissions of sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx), and particulate matter, in order to reduce air emissions and potential risks to human health and the environment.
    The new NEC Directive 2016/2284 of the European Parliament and Council (transposed by Legislative Decree 81/2018) concerning the reduction of national emissions of certain air pollutants defines national emission reduction commitments relative to 2005, applicable from 2020 to 2029 and from 2030 onwards: - for NOx, reduction commitments of 40% (2020–2029) and 65% (from 2030); - for NMVOCs, reduction commitments of 35% (2020–2029) and 46% (from 2030).
     

    DPSIR
    Pressure
    Indicator type
    Performance (B)
    References

    ISPRA, 2024. Italian Emission Inventory 1990-2023. Informative Inventory Report 2025 (https://www. isprambiente. gov. it/it/pubblicazioni/rapporti/)

    Data collection frequency
    Yearly
    Data availabilty

    Used ISPRA data from the National Inventory of Atmospheric Emissions (https://emissioni. sina. isprambiente. it/interno-nazionale/).

    Spatial coverage

    National

    Time coverage

    1990 - 2022

    Processing methodology

    The estimate has been produced as part of the development of the national atmospheric emission inventory. Data can be aggregated using the Tropospheric Ozone-Forming Potential (TOFP). These conversion factors are those used by the European Environment Agency (EEA) in environmental reports and are particularly useful for aggregated validation at the European level.
    For air pollutants, the methodology applied is that indicated by the European Environment Agency (EMEP/EEA Guidebook – 2019). For a detailed description of the estimation methodology, reference is made to the Informative Inventory Report – IIR (https://www.isprambiente.gov.it/it/pubblicazioni/rapporti; https://www.ceip.at/status-of-reporting-and-review-results/2025-submission/).

    Update frequency
    Year
    Data quality

    The reported emission data constitute the official reference source for verifying compliance with international commitments, given ISPRA’s role as the body responsible for the annual compilation of the national emission inventory.
    National-level estimates are calculated in accordance with the principles of transparency, accuracy, consistency, comparability, and completeness required by the reference methodology.

    Status
    Good
    Trend
    Positive
    State assessment/description

    In 2023, nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions amounted to 557 kt, while NMVOC emissions reached 871 kt. NOx had already achieved the reduction target established by Directive 2016/2284 for 2020 (-40%) by 2014; in 2023, relative to 2005, this reduction was -57%. NMVOCs also met the target (-35%) already by 2020, and the reduction relative to 2005 is confirmed at 37% in 2023 (Table 1).

    Trend assessment/description

    Between 1990 and 2023, emissions of tropospheric ozone precursors showed a marked reduction (-74% for NOx and -54% for NMVOCs), mainly driven by a strong decrease in emissions from the transport sectors (road transport and other mobile sources) and solvent use (particularly for NMVOCs) (Tables 1, 2, and Figure 3).

    Comments

    To ensure consistency and comparability of the inventory, the annual update of emissions involves continuous revision of the entire historical series based on new information and the latest methodological developments.
    Natural emissions (other sources and sinks) are not included in the totals, in line with the classification adopted in the national emission inventory. For nitrogen oxides, the contribution from road transport has remained relatively stable over the years and is the main national NOx emission source (40% in 2023). From 1993, essentially due to the introduction of catalytic converters, the increasing trend of road emissions reversed. In 2023, these emissions were reduced by 77.5% compared to 1990. NOx emissions from non-road transport modes decreased by 53% since 1990, representing the second-largest national emission source and contributing 22.1% of the total in 2023. Non-industrial combustion, the only sector showing an increase (+15.5% since 1990), accounted for 13.3% of total emissions, while industrial combustion and combustion in energy production and transformation industries represented 7.7% and 5.6% of the national total in 2023, respectively (Table 1, Figure 2).

    NMVOC emissions originate primarily from:

    • Solvent use (44.1% of total emissions in 2023), which decreased by 39.3% since 1990;
    • Non-industrial combustion (18.9% of emissions in 2023), which increased by 60.4% since 1990;
    • Transport (road transport and other mobile sources represent 10.4% and 1.8% of total emissions in 2023, respectively);
    • Agriculture, which decreased by 18.9%, representing 14.1% of total emissions in 2023.

    The largest reduction concerns transport, mainly due to the introduction of vehicle emission control systems such as catalytic converters and canisters (-88.2% for road transport and -88.0% for other mobile sources) (Table 1, Figure 1).

    Data
    File
    Headline

    Table 1: National emissions of ozone precursors by sector

    Data source

    ISPRA

    Data legend

    A: Combustion – Energy production and transformation industries
    B: Non-industrial combustion
    C: Industrial combustion
    D: Production processes
    E: Fossil fuel extraction and distribution / Geothermal energy
    F: Solvent use
    G: Road transport
    H: Other mobile sources
    I: Waste treatment and disposal
    L: Agriculture

    Note

    Emission values have been updated in line with the annual update of the national emission inventory.

    File
    Headline

    Table 2: National emissions of ozone precursors in tropospheric ozone formation potential

    Data source

    ISPRA

    Data legend

    TOFP conversion factor: NOx = 1.22; NMVOCs = 1

    Note

    Emission values have been updated in line with the annual update of the national emission inventory.

    Immagine
    Headline

    Figure 1: National NMVOC emissions by sector

    Data source

    ISPRA

    Note

    Emission values have been updated in line with the annual update of the national emission inventory.

    Immagine
    Headline

    Figure 2: National NOx emissions by sector

    Data source

    ISPRA

    Note

    Emission values have been updated in line with the annual update of the national emission inventory.

    Immagine
    Headline

    Figure 3: National emissions of ozone precursors in tropospheric ozone formation potential

    Data source

    ISPRA

    Data legend

    TOFP conversion factor: NOx = 1.22; NMVOCs = 1

    Note

    Emission values have been updated in line with the annual update of the national emission inventory.

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    English